Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Kansas City Royals @ New York Mets
2026-07-08 · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Kansas City Royals at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-07-08. Predicted final score: Kansas City Royals 4.87, New York Mets 4.21. Model win probability: New York Mets 44%, Kansas City Royals 56%. Projected total runs: 9.08.
Kansas City Royals
4.9
Predicted runs
56% to win
New York Mets
4.2
Predicted runs
44% to win
Projected total: 9.1 runs
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