Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Kansas City Royals @ New York Mets
2026-07-09 · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Kansas City Royals at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-07-09. Predicted final score: Kansas City Royals 4.44, New York Mets 4.18. Model win probability: New York Mets 48%, Kansas City Royals 52%. Projected total runs: 8.61.
Kansas City Royals
4.4
Predicted runs
52% to win
New York Mets
4.2
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 8.6 runs
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