Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-07-11 · 07:05 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-07-11. Predicted final score: Kansas City Royals 4.81, Baltimore Orioles 4.08. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 44%, Kansas City Royals 56%. Projected total runs: 8.89.
Kansas City Royals
4.8
Predicted runs
56% to win
Baltimore Orioles
4.1
Predicted runs
44% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.