Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

MLB / Games

Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-09-19 · PNC Park

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Kansas City Royals at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-09-19. Predicted final score: Kansas City Royals 5.06, Pittsburgh Pirates 4.86. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 51%, Kansas City Royals 49%. Projected total runs: 9.92.

Kansas City Royals
5.1
Predicted runs
49% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.9
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 9.9 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.