Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Houston Astros
2026-06-16 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-06-16. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 5.18, Houston Astros 5.01. Model win probability: Houston Astros 51%, Detroit Tigers 49%. Projected total runs: 10.19.
Detroit Tigers
5.2
Predicted runs
49% to win
Houston Astros
5.0
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 10.2 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.