Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Houston Astros
2026-06-17 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-06-17. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 4.84, Houston Astros 4.29. Model win probability: Houston Astros 46%, Detroit Tigers 54%. Projected total runs: 9.13.
Detroit Tigers
4.8
Predicted runs
54% to win
Houston Astros
4.3
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 9.1 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.