Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Atlanta Braves
2026-04-28 · Truist Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on 2026-04-28. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 5.6, Atlanta Braves 5.25. Model win probability: Atlanta Braves 48%, Detroit Tigers 52%. Projected total runs: 10.85.
Detroit Tigers
5.6
Predicted runs
52% to win
Atlanta Braves
5.3
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 10.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.