Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Atlanta Braves
2026-04-30 · 12:15 PM ET · Truist Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on 2026-04-30. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 4.89, Atlanta Braves 5.63. Model win probability: Atlanta Braves 57%, Detroit Tigers 43%. Projected total runs: 10.53.
Detroit Tigers
4.9
Predicted runs
43% to win
Atlanta Braves
5.6
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 10.5 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.