Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Chicago Cubs
2026-07-20 · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-07-20. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 4.72, Chicago Cubs 3.96. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 42%, Detroit Tigers 58%. Projected total runs: 8.68.
Detroit Tigers
4.7
Predicted runs
58% to win
Chicago Cubs
4.0
Predicted runs
42% to win
Projected total: 8.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.