Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Chicago Cubs
2026-07-21 · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-07-21. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 4.63, Chicago Cubs 4. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 43%, Detroit Tigers 57%. Projected total runs: 8.63.
Detroit Tigers
4.6
Predicted runs
57% to win
Chicago Cubs
4.0
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 8.6 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.