Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Chicago Cubs
2026-07-22 · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-07-22. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 4.58, Chicago Cubs 3.58. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 41%, Detroit Tigers 59%. Projected total runs: 8.16.
Detroit Tigers
4.6
Predicted runs
59% to win
Chicago Cubs
3.6
Predicted runs
41% to win
Projected total: 8.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.