Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-06-12 · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-06-12. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 3.76, Cleveland Guardians 3.56. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 48%, Detroit Tigers 52%. Projected total runs: 7.32.
Detroit Tigers
3.8
Predicted runs
52% to win
Cleveland Guardians
3.6
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 7.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.