Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-06-13 · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-06-13. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 3.4, Cleveland Guardians 3.48. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 51%, Detroit Tigers 49%. Projected total runs: 6.87.
Detroit Tigers
3.4
Predicted runs
49% to win
Cleveland Guardians
3.5
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 6.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.