Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-06-14 · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-06-14. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 4.06, Cleveland Guardians 3.69. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 47%, Detroit Tigers 53%. Projected total runs: 7.75.
Detroit Tigers
4.1
Predicted runs
53% to win
Cleveland Guardians
3.7
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.