Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ New York Mets
2026-05-12 · 07:10 PM ET · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-05-12. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 4.92, New York Mets 3.72. Model win probability: New York Mets 39%, Detroit Tigers 61%. Projected total runs: 8.65.
Detroit Tigers
4.9
Predicted runs
61% to win
New York Mets
3.7
Predicted runs
39% to win
Projected total: 8.7 runs
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