Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ New York Mets
2026-05-14 · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-05-14. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 4.29, New York Mets 4. Model win probability: New York Mets 49%, Detroit Tigers 51%. Projected total runs: 8.29.
Detroit Tigers
4.3
Predicted runs
51% to win
New York Mets
4.0
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 8.3 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.