Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-05-22 · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-05-22. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 4.39, Baltimore Orioles 4.25. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 49%, Detroit Tigers 51%. Projected total runs: 8.64.
Detroit Tigers
4.4
Predicted runs
51% to win
Baltimore Orioles
4.3
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 8.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.