Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-05-23 · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-05-23. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 5.24, Baltimore Orioles 4.19. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 41%, Detroit Tigers 59%. Projected total runs: 9.43.
Detroit Tigers
5.2
Predicted runs
59% to win
Baltimore Orioles
4.2
Predicted runs
41% to win
Projected total: 9.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.