Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-05-24 · 06:05 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-05-24. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 3.55, Baltimore Orioles 3.88. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 55%, Detroit Tigers 45%. Projected total runs: 7.43.
Detroit Tigers
3.5
Predicted runs
45% to win
Baltimore Orioles
3.9
Predicted runs
55% to win
Projected total: 7.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.