Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-08-18 · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-08-18. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 4.17, Pittsburgh Pirates 4.81. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 57%, Detroit Tigers 43%. Projected total runs: 8.99.
Detroit Tigers
4.2
Predicted runs
43% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.8
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 9.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.