Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-08-19 · 12:35 PM ET · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-08-19. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 4.43, Pittsburgh Pirates 5.03. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 57%, Detroit Tigers 43%. Projected total runs: 9.46.
Detroit Tigers
4.4
Predicted runs
43% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
5.0
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 9.5 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.