Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox
2026-04-20 · 11:10 AM ET · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-04-20. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 6.54, Boston Red Sox 3.49. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 26%, Detroit Tigers 74%. Projected total runs: 10.02.
Detroit Tigers
6.5
Predicted runs
74% to win
Boston Red Sox
3.5
Predicted runs
26% to win
Projected total: 10.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.