Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-04-24 · 06:40 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-04-24. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 6.05, Cincinnati Reds 6.41. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 55%, Detroit Tigers 45%. Projected total runs: 12.45.
Detroit Tigers
6.0
Predicted runs
45% to win
Cincinnati Reds
6.4
Predicted runs
55% to win
Projected total: 12.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.