Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-04-25 · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-04-25. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 5.57, Cincinnati Reds 5.74. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 52%, Detroit Tigers 48%. Projected total runs: 11.3.
Detroit Tigers
5.6
Predicted runs
48% to win
Cincinnati Reds
5.7
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 11.3 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.