Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-04-26 · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-04-26. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 4.5, Cincinnati Reds 4.83. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 53%, Detroit Tigers 47%. Projected total runs: 9.33.
Detroit Tigers
4.5
Predicted runs
47% to win
Cincinnati Reds
4.8
Predicted runs
53% to win
Projected total: 9.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.