Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals
2026-05-09 · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-05-09. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 5.14, Kansas City Royals 4.06. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 40%, Detroit Tigers 60%. Projected total runs: 9.2.
Detroit Tigers
5.1
Predicted runs
60% to win
Kansas City Royals
4.1
Predicted runs
40% to win
Projected total: 9.2 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.