Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals
2026-05-10 · 07:20 PM ET · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-05-10. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 3.74, Kansas City Royals 3.89. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 52%, Detroit Tigers 48%. Projected total runs: 7.64.
Detroit Tigers
3.7
Predicted runs
48% to win
Kansas City Royals
3.9
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 7.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.