Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals
2026-08-22 · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-08-22. Predicted final score: Detroit Tigers 4.87, Kansas City Royals 5.11. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 54%, Detroit Tigers 46%. Projected total runs: 9.98.
Detroit Tigers
4.9
Predicted runs
46% to win
Kansas City Royals
5.1
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 10.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.