Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Minnesota Twins @ Chicago Cubs
2026-07-17 · 08:05 PM ET · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Minnesota Twins at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-07-17. Predicted final score: Minnesota Twins 4.62, Chicago Cubs 3.62. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 40%, Minnesota Twins 60%. Projected total runs: 8.25.
Minnesota Twins
4.6
Predicted runs
60% to win
Chicago Cubs
3.6
Predicted runs
40% to win
Projected total: 8.3 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.