Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Minnesota Twins @ Chicago Cubs
2026-07-18 · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Minnesota Twins at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-07-18. Predicted final score: Minnesota Twins 4.29, Chicago Cubs 3.01. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 37%, Minnesota Twins 63%. Projected total runs: 7.3.
Minnesota Twins
4.3
Predicted runs
63% to win
Chicago Cubs
3.0
Predicted runs
37% to win
Projected total: 7.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.