Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Minnesota Twins @ New York Mets
2026-04-22 · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Minnesota Twins at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-04-22. Predicted final score: Minnesota Twins 6.56, New York Mets 4.1. Model win probability: New York Mets 31%, Minnesota Twins 69%. Projected total runs: 10.66.
Minnesota Twins
6.6
Predicted runs
69% to win
New York Mets
4.1
Predicted runs
31% to win
Projected total: 10.7 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.