Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Minnesota Twins @ New York Mets
2026-04-23 · 07:10 PM ET · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Minnesota Twins at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-04-23. Predicted final score: Minnesota Twins 6.77, New York Mets 3.91. Model win probability: New York Mets 29%, Minnesota Twins 71%. Projected total runs: 10.68.
Minnesota Twins
6.8
Predicted runs
71% to win
New York Mets
3.9
Predicted runs
29% to win
Projected total: 10.7 runs
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