Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Minnesota Twins @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-05-29 · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Minnesota Twins at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-05-29. Predicted final score: Minnesota Twins 3.02, Pittsburgh Pirates 4.28. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 65%, Minnesota Twins 35%. Projected total runs: 7.3.
Minnesota Twins
3.0
Predicted runs
35% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.3
Predicted runs
65% to win
Projected total: 7.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.