Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Minnesota Twins @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-05-31 · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Minnesota Twins at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-05-31. Predicted final score: Minnesota Twins 4.14, Pittsburgh Pirates 4.91. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 58%, Minnesota Twins 42%. Projected total runs: 9.05.
Minnesota Twins
4.1
Predicted runs
42% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.9
Predicted runs
58% to win
Projected total: 9.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.