Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Minnesota Twins @ Boston Red Sox
2026-05-22 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-05-22. Predicted final score: Minnesota Twins 4.82, Boston Red Sox 3.11. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 34%, Minnesota Twins 66%. Projected total runs: 7.94.
Minnesota Twins
4.8
Predicted runs
66% to win
Boston Red Sox
3.1
Predicted runs
34% to win
Projected total: 7.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.