Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Minnesota Twins @ Boston Red Sox
2026-05-23 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-05-23. Predicted final score: Minnesota Twins 4.39, Boston Red Sox 3.02. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 35%, Minnesota Twins 65%. Projected total runs: 7.4.
Minnesota Twins
4.4
Predicted runs
65% to win
Boston Red Sox
3.0
Predicted runs
35% to win
Projected total: 7.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.