Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Minnesota Twins @ Boston Red Sox
2026-05-24 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-05-24. Predicted final score: Minnesota Twins 4.38, Boston Red Sox 3.63. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 44%, Minnesota Twins 56%. Projected total runs: 8.01.
Minnesota Twins
4.4
Predicted runs
56% to win
Boston Red Sox
3.6
Predicted runs
44% to win
Projected total: 8.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.