Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago White Sox @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-04-21 · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago White Sox at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-04-21. Predicted final score: Chicago White Sox 5.03, Arizona Diamondbacks 4.91. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 48%, Chicago White Sox 52%. Projected total runs: 9.94.
Chicago White Sox
5.0
Predicted runs
52% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.9
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 9.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.