Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago White Sox @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-04-22 · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago White Sox at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-04-22. Predicted final score: Chicago White Sox 4.71, Arizona Diamondbacks 4.94. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 54%, Chicago White Sox 46%. Projected total runs: 9.66.
Chicago White Sox
4.7
Predicted runs
46% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.9
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 9.7 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.