Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago White Sox @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-04-23 · 03:40 PM ET · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago White Sox at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-04-23. Predicted final score: Chicago White Sox 3.62, Arizona Diamondbacks 4.9. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 62%, Chicago White Sox 38%. Projected total runs: 8.52.
Chicago White Sox
3.6
Predicted runs
38% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.9
Predicted runs
62% to win
Projected total: 8.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.