Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-07-02 · 06:40 PM ET · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-07-02. Predicted final score: Chicago White Sox 4.42, Cleveland Guardians 3.14. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 36%, Chicago White Sox 64%. Projected total runs: 7.56.
Chicago White Sox
4.4
Predicted runs
64% to win
Cleveland Guardians
3.1
Predicted runs
36% to win
Projected total: 7.6 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.