Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-07-03 · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-07-03. Predicted final score: Chicago White Sox 4.37, Cleveland Guardians 3.32. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 40%, Chicago White Sox 60%. Projected total runs: 7.69.
Chicago White Sox
4.4
Predicted runs
60% to win
Cleveland Guardians
3.3
Predicted runs
40% to win
Projected total: 7.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.