Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-07-04 · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-07-04. Predicted final score: Chicago White Sox 4.06, Cleveland Guardians 3.03. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 39%, Chicago White Sox 61%. Projected total runs: 7.09.
Chicago White Sox
4.1
Predicted runs
61% to win
Cleveland Guardians
3.0
Predicted runs
39% to win
Projected total: 7.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.