Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-07-05 · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-07-05. Predicted final score: Chicago White Sox 4.07, Cleveland Guardians 3.27. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 41%, Chicago White Sox 59%. Projected total runs: 7.34.
Chicago White Sox
4.1
Predicted runs
59% to win
Cleveland Guardians
3.3
Predicted runs
41% to win
Projected total: 7.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.