Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago White Sox @ San Diego Padres
2026-05-03 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago White Sox at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-05-03. Predicted final score: Chicago White Sox 6.87, San Diego Padres 4.28. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 29%, Chicago White Sox 71%. Projected total runs: 11.14.
Chicago White Sox
6.9
Predicted runs
71% to win
San Diego Padres
4.3
Predicted runs
29% to win
Projected total: 11.1 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.