Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox
2026-08-04 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-08-04. Predicted final score: Chicago White Sox 5.19, Boston Red Sox 5.26. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 51%, Chicago White Sox 49%. Projected total runs: 10.45.
Chicago White Sox
5.2
Predicted runs
49% to win
Boston Red Sox
5.3
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 10.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.