Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox
2026-08-06 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-08-06. Predicted final score: Chicago White Sox 4.79, Boston Red Sox 5.62. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 57%, Chicago White Sox 43%. Projected total runs: 10.41.
Chicago White Sox
4.8
Predicted runs
43% to win
Boston Red Sox
5.6
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 10.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.