Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Houston Astros
2026-04-24 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-04-24. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 5.99, Houston Astros 3.23. Model win probability: Houston Astros 26%, New York Yankees 74%. Projected total runs: 9.22.
New York Yankees
6.0
Predicted runs
74% to win
Houston Astros
3.2
Predicted runs
26% to win
Projected total: 9.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.