Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Houston Astros
2026-04-26 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-04-26. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 5.57, Houston Astros 4.2. Model win probability: Houston Astros 39%, New York Yankees 61%. Projected total runs: 9.77.
New York Yankees
5.6
Predicted runs
61% to win
Houston Astros
4.2
Predicted runs
39% to win
Projected total: 9.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.