Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays
2026-08-16 · Rogers Centre
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on 2026-08-16. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 3.75, Toronto Blue Jays 4.05. Model win probability: Toronto Blue Jays 53%, New York Yankees 47%. Projected total runs: 7.8.
New York Yankees
3.8
Predicted runs
47% to win
Toronto Blue Jays
4.0
Predicted runs
53% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.